Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.44	1.32
	9.19	1.04	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.21	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.78)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
23.7%

Timofey Skatov
76.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Carboni's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Carboni - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carboni will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 563. Skatov is ranked ATP: 193.

Carboni is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Skatov is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Skatov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ITF Tournaments
24.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Alexey Vatutin - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Filippo Romano - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Lorenzo Carboni - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide