Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Kirill Kivattsev		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.38	1.49
	2.54	1.47
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (1.83)	1.51 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kirill Kivattsev
38.7%

Gabriele Pennaforti
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kirill Kivattsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kirill Kivattsev's form might have worsened.

Gabriele Pennaforti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriele Pennaforti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kirill Kivattsev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kirill Kivattsev - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kivattsev is ranked ATP: 532. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 420.

Kivattsev is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pennaforti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pennaforti will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kivattsev won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Kirill Kivattsev - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kirill Kivattsev
ITF Tournaments
14.10.24	Michele Ribecai - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Dragos Nicolae Cazacu - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Francesco Ferrari - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Giannicola Misasi - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
15.10.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Gabriele Maria Noce - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
25.09.24	Andrea de Marchi - Gabriele Pennaforti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.04.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:0

Kirill Kivattsev - Gabriele Pennaforti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide