Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nivelles, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Kirill Kivattsev		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.85	1.85
	1.82	2.01
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.8	1.99
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.23)	1.92 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kirill Kivattsev
51.5%

Jelle Sels
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kirill Kivattsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kirill Kivattsev's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kirill Kivattsev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kirill Kivattsev - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kivattsev is ranked ATP: 544. Sels is ranked ATP: 490.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kivattsev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Kirill Kivattsev - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.53%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kirill Kivattsev
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Alessio Basile	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Pavlo Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Marat Sharipov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Yuichiro Inui - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Daniel Michalski - Jelle Sels	Sels J. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Francesco Forti - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 W?WLL

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