Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Lucas Poullain		Alex Knaff

	1	2
			Watch
	1.38	2.8
	1.44	2.87
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.58	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	2.68 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
65.1%

Alex Knaff
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Poullain's performance.

Alex Knaff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Knaff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Poullain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Knaff than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Knaff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lucas Poullain - Alex Knaff Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poullain will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 421. Knaff is ranked ATP: 644.

Poullain is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Knaff has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Poullain will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Knaff - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.47%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Norbert Gombos - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Alex Knaff
ATP Challenger
08.03.26	Luc Fomba - Alex Knaff	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Charles Broom - Alex Knaff	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Mika Brunold - Alex Knaff	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Alex Knaff - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLWW

Lucas Poullain - Alex Knaff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide