Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	Haruka Kaji		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.55	1.45
	2.63	1.5
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.61	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.2)	1.46 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
36%

Lucrezia Stefanini
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

75.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Haruka Kaji's performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucrezia Stefanini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Haruka Kaji that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucrezia Stefanini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Haruka Kaji - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 270. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 163.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kaji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stefanini is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kaji won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucrezia Stefanini - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 71.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Haruka Kaji - Rebecca Marino	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Dayeon Back - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Haruka Kaji - Yuno Kitahara	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Misaki Matsuda - Haruka Kaji	Kaji H. Walkover ✺
17.06.26	Eunhye Lee - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLW?W
- Lucrezia Stefanini
ITF Tournaments
30.06.26	Yuki Naito - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Luisina Giovannini - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Yeon Woo Ku - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Darja Vidmanova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Auckland
27.12.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Haruka Kaji	2:0
ITF Tournaments
03.08.22	Lucrezia Stefanini - Haruka Kaji	2:0

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