Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Manila, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday


	Lanlana Tararudee		Solana Sierra

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.35	2.9
	1.44	2.85
	1.44	2.61	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.43	2.82	Watch
	1.41	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.74)	2.72 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanlana Tararudee
65.6%

Solana Sierra
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanlana Tararudee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanlana Tararudee's performance.

Solana Sierra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Solana Sierra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanlana Tararudee than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanlana Tararudee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solana Sierra than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Solana Sierra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lanlana Tararudee - Solana Sierra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lanlana Tararudee will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lanlana Tararudee will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tararudee is ranked WTA: 131. Sierra is ranked WTA: 63.

Tararudee is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sierra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tararudee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tararudee will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lanlana Tararudee
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Simona Waltert - Lanlana Tararudee	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Elise Mertens - Lanlana Tararudee	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Lilli Tagger - Lanlana Tararudee	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Harriet Dart - Lanlana Tararudee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Solana Sierra
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Joanna Garland - Solana Sierra	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
19.01.26	Solana Sierra - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
14.01.26	Antonia Ruzic - Solana Sierra	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Caty McNally - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLW

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