Match Info

Date: 5 March 2020, Thursday


	Lauren Davis		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.62
	1.49	2.82
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.64)	2.73 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lauren Davis
65.3%

Arantxa Rus
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lauren Davis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lauren Davis's performance.

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arantxa Rus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lauren Davis than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lauren Davis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arantxa Rus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lauren Davis - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: Lauren Davis will win (60 of 72 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.72% – 91.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lauren Davis
WTA Monterrey
03.03.20	Lauren Davis - Nadia Podoroska	2:0 ✺
03.03.20	Lauren Davis - Leylah Annie Fernandez	N/A
02.03.20	Lauren Davis - Leylah Annie Fernandez	Canceled ✺
WTA Acapulco
25.02.20	Christina McHale - Lauren Davis	2:1 ✺
WTA Australian Open
23.01.20	Elina Svitolina - Lauren Davis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W??LL
- Arantxa Rus
WTA Monterrey
03.03.20	Arantxa Rus - Varvara Flink	Flink V. retired ✺
02.03.20	Arantxa Rus - Marie Bouzkova	Canceled ✺
WTA Acapulco
24.02.20	Arantxa Rus - Nao Hibino	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.20	Arantxa Rus - Lesia Tsurenko	0:2 ✺
14.02.20	Arantxa Rus - Kurumi Nara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ??LLW

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