Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Philip Henning

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.86	1.85
	1.87	1.97
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.64)	1.87 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
50.3%

Philip Henning
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Philip Henning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philip Henning's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lorenzo Giustino - Philip Henning Predictions

Users Predictions: Philip Henning will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Philip Henning will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 204. Henning is ranked ATP: 324.

Giustino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Henning has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Henning may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Giustino L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWW?
- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Peter Makk - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Philip Henning - Buvaysar Gadamauri	1:2 ✺
23.02.26	Philip Henning - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Philip Henning - Victor Barrere	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Philip Henning - Petar Jovanovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW

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