Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Jonas Forejtek

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.77
	2.03	1.85
	1.91	1.79	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.58)	1.79 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
48%

Jonas Forejtek
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Jonas Forejtek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonas Forejtek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonas Forejtek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Lorenzo Giustino - Jonas Forejtek Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Forejtek will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forejtek: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 204. Forejtek is ranked ATP: 356.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Forejtek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giustino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.57%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Paul Jubb	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Philip Henning	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW
- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Jonas Forejtek - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Matej Dodig - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Jonas Forejtek - Flynn Thomas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Jonas Forejtek - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0

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