Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Porto Alegre 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.64	2.33
	1.64	2.21	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
55.7%

Lautaro Midon
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Midon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Pucinelli De Almeida (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 322. Midon is ranked ATP: 323.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Pucinelli De Almeida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Yuki Mochizuki - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Mateus Alves - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Lautaro Midon - Maximo Zeitune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	✺

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Lautaro Midon