Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Lautaro Midon		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.56	2.5
	1.52	2.36	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
60%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ambrogi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 223. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 387.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ambrogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Midon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midon won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.06%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Jose Pereira	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Bruno Fernandez	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Lautaro Midon - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Valentin Basel	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Salazar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon	1:2
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon	0:2
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
11.11.23	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2

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