Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday


	Learner Tien		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.49	1.52	Watch
	2.52	1.58
	2.53	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.49	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.23)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
38%

Fabian Marozsan
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Learner Tien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Learner Tien - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Marozsan will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 231. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 49.

Tien is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marozsan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marozsan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Learner Tien - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Learner Tien - Dhakshineswar Suresh	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Learner Tien - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.24	Learner Tien - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	Arthur Gea - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Ben Shelton - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Fabian Marozsan - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWLL

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