Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lexington (USA), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Referee: Johnson A. (Usa)


	Learner Tien		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.54	2.59
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.76)	2.42 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
61.3%

Hugo Grenier
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Learner Tien's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Learner Tien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Learner Tien - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Grenier will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 242. Grenier is ranked ATP: 187.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Arthur Gea - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
30.07.24	Rio Noguchi - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
24.07.24	Aidan Mayo - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
01.08.24	Aidan Mayo - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
30.07.24	Aidan McHugh - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
26.07.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

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