Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Learner Tien		Justin Engel

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
			Watch
	1.62	2.42
			Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.73	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
58.1%

Justin Engel
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Justin Engel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Learner Tien - Justin Engel Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). Engel will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Engel: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 4 - 40%). Engel (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 67. Engel is ranked ATP: 235.

Tien has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Engel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Halle
14.06.25	Learner Tien - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
12.06.25	Learner Tien - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Learner Tien - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Kei Nishikori - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL?LL
- Justin Engel
ATP Halle
15.06.25	Justin Engel - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
13.06.25	Justin Engel - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Justin Engel - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches