Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Learner Tien		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.35	Watch
			Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.28	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.66)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
29.5%

Brandon Nakashima
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Learner Tien's form might have worsened.

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brandon Nakashima's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Learner Tien - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Nakashima (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Tien (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brandon Nakashima will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 3 - 25%). Nakashima (votes: 9 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 68. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 31.

Tien has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nakashima's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nakashima might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Learner Tien - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Kei Nishikori - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Learner Tien - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Mariano Navone - Brandon Nakashima	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	Collignon R. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Brandon Nakashima - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLL?L

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