Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Kei Nishikori		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.25
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.72	2.13	Watch
	1.71	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)	2.11 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
54.9%

Learner Tien
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kei Nishikori's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kei Nishikori that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Learner Tien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Kei Nishikori - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Nishikori will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Tien will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nishikori: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kei Nishikori will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 62. Tien is ranked ATP: 70.

Nishikori is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tien is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Christopher Eubanks	Nishikori K. retired ✺
01.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Yoshihito Nishioka	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LW?W?
- Learner Tien
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Learner Tien - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Learner Tien - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Learner Tien - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

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