Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Leo Raquillet		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.83	1.42
	2.99	1.33	Watch
	2.81	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.25)	1.38 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leo Raquillet
32.5%

Jelle Sels
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leo Raquillet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leo Raquillet's form might have worsened.

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelle Sels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leo Raquillet than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leo Raquillet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelle Sels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Leo Raquillet - Jelle Sels Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sels (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jelle Sels will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Raquillet is ranked ATP: 815. Sels is ranked ATP: 369.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sels could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leo Raquillet
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Leo Raquillet	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Leo Raquillet - Aryan Shah	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Pierre Antoine Faut - Leo Raquillet	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Leo Raquillet - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Sean Cuenin - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Jelle Sels - Diego Dedura-Palomero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL

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