Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Gianluca Cadenasso		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.52	2.37
	1.52	2.63
	1.39	2.87	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.84)	2.5 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Cadenasso
62.4%

Jelle Sels
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Gianluca Cadenasso - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Gianluca Cadenasso will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gianluca Cadenasso will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 511. Sels is ranked ATP: 340.

Cadenasso is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sels's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cadenasso will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Cadenasso
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Alexander Ritschard - Gianluca Cadenasso	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Giovanni Oradini - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Stefano Travaglia - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Gianluca Cadenasso - Giovanni Oradini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLWW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Dennis Novak - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Eric Vanshelboim - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Jelle Sels - Diego Dedura-Palomero	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Jelle Sels - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Gabriele Piraino - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

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