Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Wilson Leite		Leonardo Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.8	1.95	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.58)	1.87 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Wilson Leite
50.3%

Leonardo Aboian
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wilson Leite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wilson Leite's form might have worsened.

Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonardo Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wilson Leite than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wilson Leite, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonardo Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Leite is ranked ATP: 738. Aboian is ranked ATP: 600.

In recent matches, Leite has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aboian is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leite could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leite won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wilson Leite
ATP Challenger
27.04.25	Hernan Casanova - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Gonzalo Zeitune - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Maximus Jones - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Paul Valsecchi - Wilson Leite	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Leonardo Aboian	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Lucio Ratti	Aboian L. retired ✺
23.03.25	Leonardo Aboian - Conner Huertas Del Pino	Aboian L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.06.24	Leonardo Aboian - Wilson Leite	2:0
29.04.24	Wilson Leite - Leonardo Aboian	1:2
ITF Tournaments
14.10.23	Wilson Leite - Leonardo Aboian	2:1

Wilson Leite - Leonardo Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide