Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Tristan McCormick		Leonardo Aboian

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.9	1.87	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.45)	1.89 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tristan McCormick
51%

Leonardo Aboian
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristan McCormick's form might have worsened.

Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonardo Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristan McCormick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonardo Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Tristan McCormick - Leonardo Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. McCormick will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Aboian will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCormick (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McCormick is ranked ATP: 669. Aboian is ranked ATP: 639.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

McCormick may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McCormick could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Tristan McCormick - Juan Sebastian Gomez	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Tristan McCormick - Juan Esteban Trujillo Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.05.25	Tristan McCormick - Tyler Zink	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Jack Kennedy - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Bautista Vilicich - Tristan McCormick	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Leonardo Aboian	Canceled ✺
04.05.25	Wilson Leite - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Leonardo Aboian	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 ?LLWW

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