Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Leylah Annie Fernandez		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.45	1.36
	3.33	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.39	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.42)	1.33 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leylah Annie Fernandez
28.8%

Marta Kostyuk
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leylah Annie Fernandez's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Kostyuk (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marta Kostyuk will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marta Kostyuk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kostyuk (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 26. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 27.

In recent matches, Fernandez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kostyuk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kostyuk is the team to beat.

We predict that Kostyuk will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Roma
09.05.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Roma
09.05.25	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Alexandra Eala - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
30.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Marta Kostyuk - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Leylah Annie Fernandez - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide