Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Veronika Kudermetova		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.04	1.78	Watch
	2.06	1.86
	2.04	1.76	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.06	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)	1.79 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Veronika Kudermetova
46.7%

Marta Kostyuk
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Veronika Kudermetova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Veronika Kudermetova's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veronika Kudermetova than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Veronika Kudermetova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Veronika Kudermetova - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kudermetova (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Kostyuk (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Users Predictions: Marta Kostyuk will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 52. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 36.

Two players are playing changeable.

Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kudermetova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Veronika Kudermetova
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	Canceled ✺
23.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
14.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WLWW
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Emma Raducanu - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.25	Mirra Andreeva - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Marta Kostyuk - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Anna Blinkova - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Kimberly Birrell - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
07.02.21	Veronika Kudermetova - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Abu Dhabi
12.01.21	Marta Kostyuk - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2

Veronika Kudermetova - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide