Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Beibit Zhukayev		Zachary Svajda

	1	2
	4	1.22
	3.8	1.24
	3.98	1.23
	4.1	1.25
	3.15	1.34	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.94	1.24	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.03)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
25.5%

Zachary Svajda
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beibit Zhukayev's form might have worsened.

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zachary Svajda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beibit Zhukayev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zachary Svajda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda Predictions

Users Predictions: Zachary Svajda will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zachary Svajda will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 192. Svajda is ranked ATP: 143.

Now, both players are in good form.

Zhukayev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Svajda is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Svajda will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zhukayev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Rafael Matos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW
- Zachary Svajda
ATP US Open
19.08.25	August Holmgren - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Zachary Svajda	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Zachary Svajda - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 W?WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	0:2
ATP Challenger
29.05.22	Beibit Zhukayev - Zachary Svajda	1:2

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