Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Liam Broady		Blake Ellis

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	4.9	Watch
	1.18	5.31
	1.16	4.63	Watch
	1.17	4.5	Watch
	1.14	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.38)	4.92 ↑ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
81%

Blake Ellis
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Broady's performance.

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blake Ellis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Broady that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blake Ellis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Liam Broady - Blake Ellis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Broady will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Broady is ranked ATP: 278. Ellis is ranked ATP: 595.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ellis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Broady is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Broady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Andre Ilagan - Liam Broady	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Liam Broady - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Naoya Honda - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Ognjen Milic - Blake Ellis	Milic O. Retired ✺
02.04.26	Blake Ellis - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Blake Ellis - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Blake Ellis - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.08.23	Blake Ellis - Liam Broady	0:2

Liam Broady - Blake Ellis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide