Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday


	Liam Broady		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.93
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	2.73 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
65.7%

Rio Noguchi
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Broady's performance.

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Broady that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Broady will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Broady is ranked ATP: 282. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245.

Broady is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Noguchi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Broady won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Naoya Honda - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Liam Broady - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Liam Broady - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Liam Broady - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Liam Broady - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
26.03.26	Li Tu - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Noguchi - Antoine Ghibaudo	Canceled ✺
24.02.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Rio Noguchi - Liam Broady	1:2

Liam Broady - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide