Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Blake Ellis		Maximus Jones

	1	2
	2.2	1.62
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.67
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.06)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
43.2%

Maximus Jones
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Maximus Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximus Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Blake Ellis - Maximus Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: Maximus Jones will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 595. Jones is ranked ATP: 318.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Blake Ellis - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Blake Ellis - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Blake Ellis - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL
- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Maximus Jones - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Maximus Jones - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Maximus Jones - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Maximus Jones - Marko Mesarovic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLL??

Blake Ellis - Maximus Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide