Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Perugia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Liam Broady		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	4.12	1.28
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.35	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.18)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Broady
26%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
74%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

71.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Liam Broady - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Broady will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Merida Aguilar: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Merida Aguilar (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Broady is ranked ATP: 219. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 86.

Broady has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merida Aguilar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Liam Broady - David Jorda Sanchis	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Liam Broady - Cezar Cretu	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Daniil Glinka - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Liam Broady - Gianluca Cadenasso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ben Shelton	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?LLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Broady
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Jake Delaney - Liam Broady	✺

Liam Broady - Daniel Merida Aguilar