Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.61
	2.39	1.67
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.32	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	1.62 (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
41.1%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 117. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 86.

Basilashvili has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Merida Aguilar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Basilashvili may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Merida Aguilar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Merida Aguilar will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Rinky Hijikata - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Elmer Moller - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Patrick Kypson - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide