Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tallahassee, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Liam Draxl		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.02	Watch
	1.53	2.45
			Watch
	1.55	2.36	Watch
	1.71	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)	2.25 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
58.3%

Andrea Collarini
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Draxl's performance.

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Collarini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liam Draxl that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Collarini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liam Draxl - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 159. Collarini is ranked ATP: 193.

Draxl is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Collarini is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Liam Draxl - Inaki Montes De La Torre	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Emilio Nava - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Liam Draxl - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Liam Draxl - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Liam Draxl - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Jose Pereira - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Andrea Collarini - Jose Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Liam Draxl - Andrea Collarini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide