Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Liam Draxl		Andres Andrade

	1	2
	1.42	2.65
	1.38	2.90
	1.49	2.72
	1.43	2.63	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.40	2.73	Watch
	1.45	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	2.71 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
65.4%

Andres Andrade
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Andres Andrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 216. Andrade is ranked ATP: 256.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Andrade may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Draxl is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Draxl won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Andres Andrade - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Liam Draxl	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.26	Liam Draxl - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Liam Draxl - Clement Chidekh	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	August Holmgren - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Andres Andrade
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Andres Andrade - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
13.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
03.08.26	Andres Andrade - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Braden Shick - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Liam Draxl - Andres Andrade	2:0

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