Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Liam Draxl		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.69
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.07	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.8)	1.68 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
44.5%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liam Draxl's form might have worsened.

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liam Draxl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 176. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 298.

Recent matches Draxl is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Budkov Kjaer is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draxl won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
28.02.25	Raphael Collignon - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Liam Draxl - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
23.02.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Raul Brancaccio - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2

Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide