Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.1
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.86)	2.06 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
54.5%

Liam Draxl
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raphael Collignon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Draxl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Raphael Collignon - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Draxl will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 98. Draxl is ranked ATP: 176.

Collignon in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Draxl is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Collignon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Raphael Collignon - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Raphael Collignon - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Patrick Zahraj - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Filip Misolic - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
27.02.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Liam Draxl - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Liam Draxl - Adrian Andreev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Raphael Collignon - Liam Draxl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide