Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Rei Sakamoto		Liam Draxl

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.49	2.69
	1.47	2.55
	1.5	2.5
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)	2.55 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
63.2%

Liam Draxl
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 159. Draxl is ranked ATP: 147.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sakamoto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Vit Kopriva - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Federico Cina - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Alastair Gray - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Ignacio Buse - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.26	Zachary Svajda - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Liam Draxl - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Sebastian Korda - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	2:0
25.02.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	0:2

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