Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Quinta do Lago, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quinta do Lago 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lian Tran		Matilde Jorge

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Lian Tran
27.3%

Matilde Jorge
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lian Tran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tran is ranked WTA: 342. Jorge is ranked WTA: 250.

Tran has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jorge has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tran may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jorge is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lian Tran
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Lian Tran - Katarina Kuzmova	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Lian Tran	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Lian Tran - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
07.09.25	Lian Tran - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Lian Tran - Noelia Zeballos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLLW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
23.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Alize Lim	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Angelina Voloshchuk	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Brandy Walker	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lian Tran
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Lian Tran - Tilwith Di Girolami	✺

Lian Tran - Matilde Jorge