Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Lilian Marmousez		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.51	Watch
	2.34	1.56	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.01)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilian Marmousez
38.6%

Marko Topo
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lilian Marmousez's form might have worsened.

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marko Topo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lilian Marmousez - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Topo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marmousez is ranked ATP: 407. Topo is ranked ATP: 397.

Recent matches Marmousez is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Topo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Topo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Topo to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	Philip Henning - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Antoine Vincent - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Justin Schlageter - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Neil Oberleitner - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Marko Topo - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
10.03.25	Marko Topo - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marko Topo - Demetris Azoides	Azoidis D. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.03.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLW?W

Lilian Marmousez - Marko Topo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide