Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Lloyd Harris		Abedallah Shelbayh

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.35
	1.52	2.35	Watch
	1.57	2.5
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.31)	2.39 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
61.1%

Abedallah Shelbayh
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lloyd Harris's form might have worsened.

Abedallah Shelbayh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abedallah Shelbayh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lloyd Harris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abedallah Shelbayh than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abedallah Shelbayh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 175. Shelbayh is ranked ATP: 253.

Harris is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shelbayh's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shelbayh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Harris could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Harris will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lloyd Harris - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.13%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Andre Ilagan - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Harry Wendelken	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW
- Abedallah Shelbayh
ATP Challenger
13.08.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Alex Bolt - Abedallah Shelbayh	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

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