Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Lloyd Harris		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.16	1.68
	2.1	1.68
	2.19	1.76
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.24	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.7)	1.7 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
44.1%

Aslan Karatsev
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lloyd Harris's performance.

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aslan Karatsev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aslan Karatsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lloyd Harris - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Karatsev will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Harris is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Harris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Lloyd Harris - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
26.04.22	Lloyd Harris - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
22.04.22	Alex De Minaur - Lloyd Harris	De Minaur A. retired ✺
20.04.22	Lloyd Harris - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
19.04.22	Lloyd Harris - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LL?WW
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Aslan Karatsev - David Goffin	0:2 ✺
ATP Belgrade
21.04.22	Oscar Otte - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Aslan Karatsev	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
28.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Aslan Karatsev - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Lloyd Harris - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide