Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Lloyd Harris		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	2.9	1.39
	3.08	1.43
	3.05	1.38	Watch
	3	1.4
	2.96	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.39)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
32%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lloyd Harris - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Tsitsipas (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 139. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 53.

Harris is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tsitsipas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Harris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tsitsipas is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.13%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Jack Kennedy	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Arthur Fils	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Jenson Brooksby - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Valentin Royer - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

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