Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Lorenzo Angelini		Garrett Johns

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)	1.57 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Angelini
40.9%

Garrett Johns
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Angelini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Garrett Johns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Angelini than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Lorenzo Angelini - Garrett Johns Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Angelini is ranked ATP: 575., and Johns is ranked ATP: 442..

Recent results have been tough for Angelini (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Johns have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Angelini could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Johns holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Garrett Johns - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Angelini
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Matteo Sciahbasi	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Lorenzo Comino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Daniel Verbeek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Garrett Johns
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Tristan McCormick - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Andrea de Marchi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

Lorenzo Angelini - Garrett Johns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide