Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Bocchi		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
			Watch
	3.9	1.2
	3.85	1.22	Watch
	3.82	1.25
	3.91	1.23	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.9	1.23	Watch
	3.16	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.16)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Bocchi
24.9%

Sebastian Gima
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

70.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Bocchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sebastian Gima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Bocchi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lorenzo Bocchi - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bocchi is ranked ATP: 753. Gima is ranked ATP: 572.

In recent matches, Bocchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bocchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gima is the team to beat.

We predict that Gima will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Bocchi
ITF Tournaments
19.08.25	Niccolo Ciavarella - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Tom Gentzsch - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Valentin Lapalu - Lorenzo Bocchi	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Patrik Munkhammar - Lorenzo Bocchi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Anton Matusevich - Lorenzo Bocchi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Nerman Fatic - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Sebastian Gima - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Thomas Faurel - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWWW

Lorenzo Bocchi - Sebastian Gima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide