Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Sebastian Gima		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.55	1.25	Watch
	3.84	1.27
	2.44	1.52	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.78)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
27.6%

Daniel Rincon
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Rincon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-5%)

Sebastian Gima - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 622. Rincon is ranked ATP: 290.

Gima is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Rincon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rincon might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Rincon - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.43%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Franco Roncadelli - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Thomas Faurel - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Yanaki Milev - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Sebastian Gima - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Jelle Sels - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Hynek Barton - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Christoph Negritu - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Sebastian Gima - Daniel Rincon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide