Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa

	1	2
			Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.59	2.31
	1.56	2.24	Watch
			Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	2.26 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
58.9%

Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Carboni's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Carboni - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manzanera Pertusa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 445. Manzanera Pertusa is ranked ATP: 640.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Carboni could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carboni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lorenzo Carboni	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWL?
- Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.09.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Pedro Rodenas	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	0:2

Lorenzo Carboni - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide