Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Biella, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Luka Mikrut		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.45	2.81
	1.32	3.19	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	2.89 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
67.6%

Lorenzo Carboni
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Mikrut's performance.

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Carboni might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Luka Mikrut - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 256. Carboni is ranked ATP: 450.

Mikrut is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carboni's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mikrut is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Zdenek Kolar - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Luka Mikrut - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Henri Squire - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lorenzo Carboni	Canceled ✺
27.08.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WL?LW

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