Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Lorenzo Carboni		John Echeverria

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.29
	1.67	2.13	Watch
			Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.5	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.52)	2.23 ↓ (2.31)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
58.2%

John Echeverria
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

John Echeverria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Echeverria than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Lorenzo Carboni - John Echeverria Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Echeverria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 445. Echeverria is ranked ATP: 646.

Recent form of Carboni has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Echeverria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Echeverria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carboni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lorenzo Carboni	Canceled ✺
27.08.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWL?L
- John Echeverria
ITF Tournaments
19.09.25	John Echeverria - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	John Echeverria - Chirag Duhan	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Toufik Sahtali - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Pierre Delage - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Lukas Morand - John Echeverria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLW

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