Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Daniil Glinka

	1	2
	1.67	2.1
	1.62	2.20
	1.69	2.13
	1.69	2.22
	1.64	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.19
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.68	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)	2.15 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
56.4%

Daniil Glinka
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Glinka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 148. Glinka is ranked ATP: 156.

Martinez Portero is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Glinka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.07%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Valentin Royer - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Garrett Johns - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Evan Zhu - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW
- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Daniil Glinka - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniil Glinka	2:0

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