What is the expert prediction for Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Carlos Maria Zarate?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Carlos Maria Zarate. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Carlos Maria Zarate Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, July 10, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Salvador de Jujuy, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Carlos Maria Zarate

	1	2
	2.30	1.53
	2.28	1.55
	2.50	1.54
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.52
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
39.1%

Carlos Maria Zarate
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Gagliardo's form might have worsened.

Carlos Maria Zarate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Maria Zarate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Gagliardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Maria Zarate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 904. Zarate is ranked ATP: 412.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Tomas Tischner	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Andres Medus	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Savva Rybkin - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Anton Arzhankin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL
- Carlos Maria Zarate
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Mateo Del Pino - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Santiago Lora - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Sebastian Gomez	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Carlos Maria Zarate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide