Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 San Salvador de Jujuy, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Carlos Maria Zarate

	1	2
	2.30	1.53
	2.28	1.55
	2.50	1.54
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.52
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.05)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
39.1%

Carlos Maria Zarate
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Gagliardo's form might have worsened.

Carlos Maria Zarate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlos Maria Zarate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Gagliardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Maria Zarate than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlos Maria Zarate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Carlos Maria Zarate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 904. Zarate is ranked ATP: 412.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Tomas Tischner	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Andres Medus	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Savva Rybkin - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Amaury Raynel	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Anton Arzhankin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLWL
- Carlos Maria Zarate
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Mateo Del Pino - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Santiago Lora - Carlos Maria Zarate	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Sebastian Gomez	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Carlos Maria Zarate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide