Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maceio, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Maceio 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Ignacio Monzon

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.56	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.22 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
58.7%

Ignacio Monzon
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ignacio Monzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Monzon than the current prediction. (+4%)

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Ignacio Monzon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 833., and Monzon is ranked ATP: 568..

Gagliardo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Monzon have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gagliardo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Gagliardo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Gagliardo has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Monzon - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Bruno Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Ivan Dreycopp	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Ignacio Monzon
ITF Tournaments
20.10.26	Gabriel Schenekenberg - Ignacio Monzon	1:2 ✺
13.10.26	Rafael Tosetto - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Dmitry Popko - Ignacio Monzon	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Vano Losaberidze - Ignacio Monzon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.11.22	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Ignacio Monzon	0:2
24.11.21	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Ignacio Monzon	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Monzon
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Ignacio Monzon - Nicolas Bruna	✺
29.10.26	Ignacio Monzon - Rocco Valente	✺

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Ignacio Monzon