Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Trelew, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Gagliardo		Vito Antonio Darderi

	1	2
	1.29	3.20
	1.36	3.22
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.32	3.15
	1.31	3.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.47)	3.15 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Gagliardo
70.5%

Vito Antonio Darderi
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Gagliardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Gagliardo's performance.

Vito Antonio Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vito Antonio Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Gagliardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vito Antonio Darderi than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vito Antonio Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Vito Antonio Darderi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 974. Darderi is ranked ATP: 2211.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gagliardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gagliardo is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Francisco Gay	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Gonzalo Zeitune - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Nicolas Garcia Longo - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL
- Vito Antonio Darderi
ITF Tournaments
01.09.26	Thomas Menzel - Vito Antonio Darderi	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Gabriel Ignacio Ursini - Vito Antonio Darderi	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Vito Antonio Darderi - Stefano DAgostino	Darderi V. A. Retired ✺
16.07.26	Stefano DAgostino - Vito Antonio Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLW?L

Lorenzo Gagliardo - Vito Antonio Darderi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide