Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vicenza 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ioannis Xilas		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

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Ioannis Xilas
55.3%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ioannis Xilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ioannis Xilas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Xilas is ranked ATP: 359. Vincent Ruggeri is ranked ATP: 701.

Xilas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vincent Ruggeri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vincent Ruggeri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ioannis Xilas
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Ioannis Xilas - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Michael Geerts - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Matthew Donald - Ioannis Xilas	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Ioannis Xilas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Olle Wallin - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Andrei Kunitsyn	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Robert Strombachs - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Faris Zakaryia	Vincent Ruggeri S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWL?

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ioannis Xilas
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Thando Longwe-Smit - Ioannis Xilas	✺

Ioannis Xilas - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri