The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Giustino 43.2%
Lukas Neumayer 56.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
51.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.
Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
0%
91.7%
Lorenzo Giustino - Lukas Neumayer Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lukas Neumayer will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Giustino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Neumayer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.
Watch
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